Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.004648 0.005251 0.005936 0.006781 0.007803 0.009013 0.010575
2025-12-21 0.003909 0.004694 0.005671 0.007001 0.008810 0.011258 0.014958
2025-12-28 0.003526 0.004418 0.005598 0.007329 0.009909 0.013812 0.020619
2026-01-04 0.003191 0.004123 0.005414 0.007421 0.010642 0.015993 0.026623
2026-01-11 0.002895 0.003829 0.005171 0.007355 0.011078 0.017788 0.032817
2026-01-18 0.002679 0.003618 0.005010 0.007372 0.011634 0.019948 0.041047
2026-01-25 0.002459 0.003373 0.004763 0.007198 0.011797 0.021382 0.048547
2026-02-01 0.002242 0.003112 0.004458 0.006875 0.011604 0.021991 0.054283
2026-02-08 0.002055 0.002879 0.004175 0.006551 0.011339 0.022356 0.059654
2026-02-15 0.001966 0.002792 0.004120 0.006630 0.011921 0.024985 0.075766
2026-02-22 0.001849 0.002652 0.003963 0.006494 0.012007 0.026366 0.088744
2026-03-01 0.001736 0.002510 0.003789 0.006302 0.011931 0.027277 0.101021
2026-03-08 0.001641 0.002397 0.003668 0.006227 0.012177 0.029478 0.126201
2026-03-15 0.001593 0.002359 0.003677 0.006421 0.013145 0.034637 0.188175
2026-03-22 0.001561 0.002345 0.003729 0.006711 0.014460 0.042093 0.316436
2026-03-29 0.001505 0.002286 0.003688 0.006793 0.015234 0.048157 0.496664
2026-04-05 0.001438 0.002202 0.003592 0.006735 0.015586 0.052721 0.735873
2026-04-12 0.001385 0.002139 0.003531 0.006750 0.016175 0.059174 1.251171
2026-04-19 0.001318 0.002048 0.003407 0.006596 0.016181 0.062525 1.869264
2026-04-26 0.001243 0.001937 0.003237 0.006310 0.015681 0.062486 2.332589
2026-05-03 0.001173 0.001832 0.003072 0.006022 0.015117 0.061751 2.804414
2026-05-10 0.001143 0.001800 0.003051 0.006092 0.015842 0.070666 7.721372
2026-05-17 0.001097 0.001735 0.002960 0.005971 0.015842 0.074455 17.035456